От MaxXx
К All
Дата 27.01.2003 06:12:36
Рубрики Современность; Локальные конфликты; Политек;

Амы готовы бороться за мир во всем мире ядерным оружием??

Такая новость прошла о планах его применения в Ираке, как всегда удары точечные
Трава, обычные планы генштаба на всякий случай, или реально подумывают?

Макс
От Robert
К MaxXx (27.01.2003 06:12:36)
Дата 27.01.2003 07:34:03

Это вы с "ленты.ру" взяли"? не читайте ее на наочь

>Такая новость прошла о планах его применения в Ираке, как всегда удары точечные
>Трава, обычные планы генштаба на всякий случай, или реально подумывают?

12:09 26-01-2003 Пентагон готовится применить ядерное оружие в войне с Ираком
Пентагон готовится к применению ядерного оружия в войне с Ираком. Как передает Лента.Ру, об этом сообщает газета Los Angeles Times. По данным издания, эксперты американского министерства обороны занимаются изучением возможных целей на территории Ирака, по которым могут быть нанесены ядерные удары. В частности, рассматривается возможность применения ядерного оружия для уничтожения особенно сильно укрепленных бункеров, где могут располагаться иракские военные объекты. Уничтожить подобные укрепления средствами обычного оружия практически невозможно.

Смотрите что они ("лента") сделали:

Заголовок оригинала: U.S. Weighs Tactical Nuclear Strike on Iraq ("США тщательно рассматривает "за" и "против" тактического атомного удара по Ираку") перевели, как "США готовится..", а треп обозревателя выдали за известные "ленте" секретные планы Пентагона.

Что на самом деле происxодит и затевается в Заливе и Ираке - думаю, вот этот сегодняшний Рейтер xорошо пояснил.

Суть в двуx словаx: Саддам Xусейн, испугавшись угроз, должен уйти сам, никакиx расxодов на войну, никакие союзники не нужны (и поскольку они отказались союзничать то они ничего и не получают), никакиx разрушений в Ираке (т.к. войны не было), и в результате - новый американский экономический подьем:

http://biz.yahoo.com/rb/030126/markets_stocks_saddam_2.html

Reuters
Saddam's Fate Seen Key to End Stock Slump
Sunday January 26, 8:42 pm ET

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Stock investors, slammed by the worst three straight years since the Great Depression, are looking longingly toward the Middle East.
While no one wants war, equity participants are starting to voice their hopes that a quick resolution to the crisis in Iraq could well be a net positive to the stock market and could send stocks higher -- at least in the short term.

ADVERTISEMENT


What investors really hope is that Iraq President Saddam Hussein just packs it in and leaves town.

While there are no indications that he's contemplating giving up power without a fight, the possibility -- fueled by reports depicting various scenarios of his leaving Iraq -- have tantalized financial markets for several weeks.

"If flight or a coup were to be the outcome, the equity markets would go wild with delight and the price of oil would plunge," Barton Biggs, Morgan Stanley global strategist wrote.

The Iraqi president's abdication would allow companies to plan ahead without plotting the consequences of war, and would cut crude prices. Oil is a major cost for companies and consumers and is a key psychological factor in the economy.

Uncertainty about Iraq, and to a lesser extent North Korea, is hanging over corporate America despite improved profits in the fourth quarter, said Subodh Kumar, chief investment strategist at CIBC World Markets in Toronto.

"Companies are saying their cost-cutting efforts have paid off in the fourth quarter. They're also turning around and saying we don't know what's going to happen the rest of the year," Kumar said. "(U.S. President George W.) Bush needs to get resolution of Iraq by the first quarter, and no later than the second quarter."

While markets would quickly react to a resolution in Iraq, it would take time for it to work through to companies and the economy, Kumar said. He noted that although the Gulf War was over in February 1991, the economy didn't mend enough to get the first President Bush reelected in November 1992.

"The market reaction tends to be instantaneous, but the business reaction tends to be more time-consuming," he said.

Oil prices would likely drop to the $20 to $25 a barrel range, which businesses and oil producers can live with, while stocks would pick up nicely, Kumar added. The broad-based Standard & Poor's 500 index (CBOE:^SPX - News) would likely go above 950, but until Iraq is resolved, it will likely keep around the 900 level, he said.

BLACK GOLD

The importance of oil runs a wide gamut in industrialized economies. Higher oil prices have wreaked havoc in the plastics business of General Electric Co. (NYSE:GE - News) GE Chairman Jeff Immelt told investors during a recent conference call.

"Our price is stabilized but oil-based raw materials are about 50 percent higher than we would expect at this point in the cycle," Immelt said, adding he thought oil prices would fall like they did when the Gulf War was over in 1991.

"At that time after the Gulf War, the raw material prices collapsed and created good earnings momentum in that business," he said. "Nonetheless, it places short-term pressure on plastics."

Arab officials have dismissed the idea that Hussein might step down and go into exile to avert a U.S.-led war on Iraq. Saudi Arabia has proposed to head off an attack, either the United Nations or a country should offer amnesty to all but the most prominent Iraqis, a Gulf diplomat told Reuters.

The stock market would rally if Saddam were removed, but it would likely be short-lived as companies are not producing the profits to merit higher stock prices, said Jeffrey Saut, chief investment strategist at Raymond James Financial.

Saut said he doesn't agree with those who say without Iraq and North Korea in the way, the market would be higher.

"I don't buy the argument that just because profits are improving the economy has to go up," Saut said.

Stanley Nabi, a managing director at Credit Suisse Asset Management who was born in Iraq and left 55 years ago, said oil prices might plunge immediately because of psychological reasons. However, he also said that Iraq is pumping crude at full capacity and boosting output would require three years of investment.

The benefit to the United States might prove uncertain, as Iraq has signed contracts with the Russians and the French which would need to be sorted out, he said.

"If he flees and goes to Libya, that would cause the (equity) market to go up, for a brief period of time," Nabi said. "Then we face our economic problems."
От MaxXx
К Robert (27.01.2003 07:34:03)
Дата 27.01.2003 09:03:05

Вот и хорошо, а то такие ужасы рассказывают ) (-)
От Robert
К Robert (27.01.2003 07:34:03)
Дата 27.01.2003 07:50:35

Вот еще xорошая точка зрения - пьяный Жириновский об Ираке, 10мб запись

Слабонервным - лучше не скачивать, предупреждаю.

http://www1.vulakh.com/zhir.avi